Thursday 18 December 2014

Squeeze on Oil shorties - capturing the key reversal with Kepcorp call warrants

Yesterday , Wed 17 dec was a most  interesting reversal day ...

The Dow & oil had been plunging non-stop  since last friday 12 dec for 4  consecutive  days and we had been riding this plunge  with kepcorp put wrts( for more details of that ride , click here   .and here)  

for 2 past days,  crude oil had busted past my month-long target price of $57 ( click here) from $72  to a low of  $53.6 non-stop, seeming to break every support in sight  and many pundits were extremely bearish - about the Dow and crude oil .

Every analyst I knew had by now revised their oil target downwards to the 40s and at the same time revised their kepcorp target to $6.

Years of tracking analyst market calls told me it's time to change tack if every analyst is finally converted to singing the same tune. 

yesterday at 1100hrs I started to get short-term bullish signals on crude oil and kepcorp . 

I also concluded that the Dow will turn green  yesterday nite( a fomc nite ).
( see below bullish call to both student and freebee chat on kepcorp and dow & to buy some kepcorp call wrts ) 


What to buy if I am bullish - so I choose one nice cheap kepcorp wrt for the student and freebee chat to buy and bought they did to the max amount of warrants their credit limit could allow .
(see sample of buy statements  below ):





Last nite , the Dow rallied to close 288  points up and oil at one point rallied from $54.6 to $59 before dropping back .. ( see below) 

This morning Kepcorp opened gap up 8c from yesterday close of $8.22 ,  then rallied to as high as $8.48. The warrants followed suit and was up > 20% at its peak. 

One student was able to capture that brief ecstatic moment with a screenshot of  his trading  screen when the  kepcorp  warrant hit its peak at 10.1c up > 20%  from  7-8c when we entered yesterday.( see below) 

 will the kepcorp wrts turn green green , like up 50%-100%  in a few contra days like in previous trades( click here  )  ?  when would we sell ? not yet, but soon .

as usual, will showcase some contra statements here when they are ready , hot from the students' ovens...
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stay tuned for more updates ..better still join our freebee chat  to get updates and calls live & interactive  for free.

To find out more on how we achieve such   consistency in precision swings over the years , attend our weekly free seminars on " Deciphering stock operator maneuvers & swing secrets " to join our freebee chat for free  ( click here  

for daily updates , join our FB sgx swingers corner ( click here).. 
To hear what our freebees say of their freebee chat experience-(click here) .




  

  





Sunday 14 December 2014

Riding the perfect storm with kepcorp put warrants - the night two major crash predictions came true : Crude Oil and Dow Jones Industrial Index

Friday night 12 Nov saw the combination of  our  bearish predictions of 2 major index futures  came true. 

One was the crude oil crash , the other the dow crash. 

 what did sgxswingers do to profit from the perfect storm that result from the combined action of these two bearish events  ? Read on....

As readers of this blog would know, I  have been calling for oil price to fall to $57-$58  since 27 Nov_(click here for 27 nov post  )  when it was hovering around $72-73 juz hours before the opec meeting which decided on no production cuts.. 

Below is a time-stamped picture of that call in facebook and regular affirmation of it in both our student chatroom & facebook.
Well , friday night ,  crude oil  did exactly that , hitting our target of $57.5 (  $57.34 in fact ) before bouncing a little.

Any one who had shorted Crude at $70 or higher at time of that call on 27 Nov would have reaped profits of  180% returns or higher  when it crashed to our $57 target  at 10% margin in a margin-trading account.

Of more significance to local players with only exposure to local sgx stocks to play with  is the shorting of local oil stocks. 

We shorted local oil stocks before the opec meeting ( click here for last post)  and close the shorts 5-6 days after , where we enjoyed 50% -100% returns with our CFD shorts  and purchases of kepcorp put wrts( click here)

on friday 12 dec, we initiated new shorts by buying even more kepcorp put wrts despite kepcorp announcement of share buybacks few days earlier.  More of  this later.


On Friday morning 12 dec  at about 957 am, I told the student chatroom that the Dow Jones is about to crash, 

 At 5pm , I reaffirm my bearish stand by telling  them it is going to crash " red red "..( see below)

True enough , the dow crashed " red red " to close down 315 points friday  nite( see below) .



so what decisive trading action did we take  in anticipation of  these 2 bearish predictions that came together in a perfect storm  ?.. 

on friday sgx hours , we again bought kepcorp put wrts which should hopefully  profit handsomely  next week from  the combined fall of crude oil and dow friday night.

below are screen shots of those kepcorp put wrts purchases by students through cimb and poems accts. 







what will happen to them next week ?

 will our kepcorp put wrts bought on friday  turn green green or red red or flat flat  ? 

we will update u further on that next week.

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post-mortem 15 dec : some students took profits on their kepcorp put warrants  , reaping 9% contra returns on broker's capital over contra weekend. 
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stay tuned for more updates ..better still join our freebee chat  to get updates and calls live & interactive  for free.

To find out more on how we achieve such   consistency in precision swings over the years , attend our weekly free seminars on " Deciphering stock operator maneuvers & swing secrets " to join our freebee chat for free  ( click here  

for daily updates , join our FB sgx swingers corner ( click here).. 
To hear what our freebees say of their freebee chat experience-(click here) .




Thursday 11 December 2014

Closing the big shorts in energy stocks : Kepcorp put warrants , ezra , mirach

2 weeks ago on 27 Nov nite , juz hours before Opec announced no cut in  production of crude oil , when crude oil was hovering around  $72-73,    we told our readers in this blog & on facebook that  crude oil will drop to $57-58 with little bounces at 64 and 60 ( click here) .  

This $57 target  gave us the quiet confidence to initiate with relish new shorts in some oil stocks at that time when oil was hovering around $72-73 , hours juz before the opec meeting of 27 nov.

We also told our readers that we were holding big short positions in various energy stocks like Kepcorp, sembmarine, Swissco , Ezra, swiber , Mirach etc etc.

Now all that has come to pass, almost.  This week , crude oil has dropped further,  to $60 last nite , bouncing a little to 61.5 at close... quite close to our $57 target.   

So we took this opportunity in weak oil to cover our shorts in energy stocks .. this is not to say that the energy stocks has bottomed - not yet but the risk vs reward of holding shorts is getting less sexy.

Below are juz some profit statements showcasing the closure of shorts by the students and freebees recently.

Kepcorp - precision big short with put warrants over 5 contra days with returns  of >50% from broker's free capital :
  






Ezra - back to back shorting with CFD over 2 weeks below:



 Mirach : 
chart & trade statements to come ..

stay tuned for more updates ..better still join our freebee chat  to get updates and calls live & interactive  for free.


To find out more on how we achieve such   consistency in precision swings over the years , attend our weekly free seminars on " Deciphering stock operator maneuvers & swing secrets " to join our freebee chat for free  ( click here  

for daily updates , join our FB sgx swingers corner ( click here).. 
To hear what our freebees say of their freebee chat experience-(click here) .


Wednesday 3 December 2014

Playing Yuuzoo's "Nigerian social e-commerce deal" : our precision swings from bottom to peak and then shorting from peak

Playing Yaazuu's "Nigerian social e-commerce Deal"

Over the years, I have come across endless blockbuster deals that are "too-good-to-be-true" that listed companies announced simply to suck in public to buy their shares at a high before the operator dumps his  shares at high price and then  the stock plunges . These deals immediately vaporised into thin air once the operator had distributed or unloaded his stock ..

 Thus we hear  of "recently vaporised" blockbuster deals that proposed to inject a trillion dollar magnesium mine from remote xinjiang into a loss-making ship building coy , of  reverse takeovers by malaysian tycoons injecting Iskandar land into a money losing steel plant coy , or myanmese tycoons injecting myanmese assets into a money-losing bedsheet retailer .etc etc  

   ..So, Is Yuuzoo's "social e-commerce"  deal  in  Nigeria - a remote ebola- and jihadist-infested country any different ? I doubt so , but the question of interest to the public is at what price does the Yuuzoo operator complete distribution of  their own shares ? 

Yuuzoo at 62c looks like the peak .. and looks headed for below 16 c in due course , maybe next year .. 

I am sure we the public would want to sell the shares together with the operator  during his distribution & shorting of his stock & just before the plunge. 

but how ? The answer lies in the charts  .. To find out more , attend sgxswingers free seminars to find out ( click here) . 








Riding up on Yuuzoo from 34c  to 58c : student and freebee statements. 

Shorting Yuuzoo :

we shorted on 27 Nov after they announced news of  " big $500m social e-commerce deal" in Nigeria , this one student bags $3k intraday; more short statements to come ,  hot from students.

Here telling oct feebees about Yuuzoo entry on 14 Nov juz before breakout at 31-32:

Here reminding student of Yuuzoo peaking and hidden selling at 62 juz before price collapsed:

stay tuned for more updates ..better still join our freebee chat  to get updates and calls live & interactive  for free.


To find out more on how we achieve such   consistency in precision swings over the years , attend our weekly free seminars on " Deciphering stock operator maneuvers & swing secrets " to join our freebee chat for free  ( click here  

for daily updates , join our FB sgx swingers corner ( click here).. 
To hear what our freebees say of their freebee chat experience-(click here) .