Thursday, 18 December 2014

Squeeze on Oil shorties - capturing the reversal with Kepcorp call wrts

Yesterday , Thurs 17 dec was a most  interesting reversal day ...

The Dow & oil had been plunging non-stop  since last friday 12 dec for 4-5 consecutive  days and we had been riding this plunge  with kepcorp put wrts( for more details of that ride , click here   .and here)  

for 2 past days,  crude oil had busted past my month-long target price of $57 ( click here)  to a low of  $53.6 non-stop, seeming to break every support in sight  and many were extremely bearish - about the Dow and crude oil .

Every analyst I knew had by now revised their oil target downwards to the 40s and at the same time revised their kepcorp target to $6.

Years of tracking analyst market calls told me it's time to change tack if every analyst is finally singing the same tune. 

yesterday at 1100hrs I started to get short-term bullish signals on crude oil and kepcorp . 

I also concluded that the Dow will turn green  yesterday nite( a fomc nite ).
( see below bullish call to student and freebee chat on kepcorp and dow ) 

What to buy if I am bullish - so I choose one nice cheap kepcorp wrt for the student and freebee chat to buy and bought they did to the max amount of warrants their credit limit could allow .
(see sample of buy statements  below ):





Last nite , the Dow rallied to close 288  points and oil at one point rallied from $54.6 to $59 before dropping back .. ( see below) 

This morning Kepcorp opened gap up 8c from yesterday close of $8.22 ,  then rallied to as high as $8.48. The warrants followed suit and was up > 20% at its peak. 

 I was able to capture that brief ecstatic moment with a screenshot of  my trading  screen when the  kepcorp  warrant hit its peak at 10.1c up > 20%  from  7-8c when we entered yesterday.( see below)
 as usual, will showcase some contra statements here when they are ready , hot from the students' ovens...
***************************************

stay tuned for more updates ..better still join our freebee chat  to get updates and calls live & interactive  for free.

To find out more on how we achieve such   consistency in precision swings over the years , attend our weekly free seminars on " Deciphering stock operator maneuvers & swing secrets " to join our freebee chat for free  ( click here  

for daily updates , join our FB sgx swingers corner ( click here).. 
To hear what our freebees say of their freebee chat experience-(click here) .




  

  





Sunday, 14 December 2014

Riding the perfect storm with kepcorp put warrants - the night two major crash predictions came true : Crude Oil and Dow Jones Industrial Index

Friday night 12 Nov saw the combination of  our  bearish predictions of 2 major index futures  came true. 

One was the crude oil crash , the other the dow crash. 

 what did sgxswingers do to profit from the perfect storm that result from the combined action of these two bearish events  ? Read on....

As readers of this blog would know, I  have been calling for oil price to fall to $57-$58  since 27 Nov_(click here for 27 nov post  )  when it was hovering around $72-73 juz hours before the opec meeting which decided on no production cuts.. 

Below is a time-stamped picture of that call in facebook and regular affirmation of it in both our student chatroom & facebook.
Well , friday night ,  crude oil  did exactly that , hitting our target of $57.5 (  $57.34 in fact ) before bouncing a little.

Any one who had shorted Crude at $70 or higher at time of that call on 27 Nov would have reaped profits of  180% returns or higher  when it crashed to our $57 target  at 10% margin in a margin-trading account.

Of more significance to local players with only exposure to local sgx stocks to play with  is the shorting of local oil stocks. 

We shorted local oil stocks before the opec meeting ( click here for last post)  and close the shorts 5-6 days after , where we enjoyed 50% -100% returns with our CFD shorts  and purchases of kepcorp put wrts( click here)

on friday 12 dec, we initiated new shorts by buying even more kepcorp put wrts despite kepcorp announcement of share buybacks few days earlier.  More of  this later.


On Friday morning 12 dec  at about 957 am, I told the student chatroom that the Dow Jones is about to crash, 

 At 5pm , I reaffirm my bearish stand by telling  them it is going to crash " red red "..( see below)

True enough , the dow crashed " red red " to close down 315 points friday  nite( see below) .



so what decisive trading action did we take  in anticipation of  these 2 bearish predictions that came together in a perfect storm  ?.. 

on friday sgx hours , we again bought kepcorp put wrts which should hopefully  profit handsomely  next week from  the combined fall of crude oil and dow friday night.

below are screen shots of those kepcorp put wrts purchases by students through cimb and poems accts. 







what will happen to them next week ?

 will our kepcorp put wrts bought on friday  turn green green or red red or flat flat  ? 

we will update u further on that next week.

**********************************************
post-mortem 15 dec : some students took profits on their kepcorp put warrants  , reaping 9% contra returns on broker's capital over contra weekend. 
 *

****************************************



stay tuned for more updates ..better still join our freebee chat  to get updates and calls live & interactive  for free.

To find out more on how we achieve such   consistency in precision swings over the years , attend our weekly free seminars on " Deciphering stock operator maneuvers & swing secrets " to join our freebee chat for free  ( click here  

for daily updates , join our FB sgx swingers corner ( click here).. 
To hear what our freebees say of their freebee chat experience-(click here) .




Thursday, 11 December 2014

Closing the big shorts in energy stocks : Kepcorp put warrants , ezra , mirach

2 weeks ago on 27 Nov nite , juz hours before Opec announced no cut in  production of crude oil , when crude oil was hovering around  $72-73,    we told our readers in this blog & on facebook that  crude oil will drop to $57-58 with little bounces at 64 and 60 ( click here) .  

This $57 target  gave us the quiet confidence to initiate with relish new shorts in some oil stocks at that time when oil was hovering around $72-73 , hours juz before the opec meeting of 27 nov.

We also told our readers that we were holding big short positions in various energy stocks like Kepcorp, sembmarine, Swissco , Ezra, swiber , Mirach etc etc.

Now all that has come to pass, almost.  This week , crude oil has dropped further,  to $60 last nite , bouncing a little to 61.5 at close... quite close to our $57 target.   

So we took this opportunity in weak oil to cover our shorts in energy stocks .. this is not to say that the energy stocks has bottomed - not yet but the risk vs reward of holding shorts is getting less sexy.

Below are juz some profit statements showcasing the closure of shorts by the students and freebees recently.

Kepcorp - precision big short with put warrants over 5 contra days with returns  of >50% from broker's free capital :
  






Ezra - back to back shorting with CFD over 2 weeks below:



 Mirach : 
chart & trade statements to come ..

stay tuned for more updates ..better still join our freebee chat  to get updates and calls live & interactive  for free.


To find out more on how we achieve such   consistency in precision swings over the years , attend our weekly free seminars on " Deciphering stock operator maneuvers & swing secrets " to join our freebee chat for free  ( click here  

for daily updates , join our FB sgx swingers corner ( click here).. 
To hear what our freebees say of their freebee chat experience-(click here) .


Wednesday, 3 December 2014

Playing Yuuzoo's "Nigerian social e-commerce deal" : our precision swings from bottom to peak and then shorting from peak

Playing Yaazuu's "Nigerian social e-commerce Deal"

Over the years, I have come across endless blockbuster deals that are "too-good-to-be-true" that listed companies announced simply to suck in public to buy their shares at a high before the operator dumps his  shares at high price and then  the stock plunges . These deals immediately vaporised into thin air once the operator had distributed or unloaded his stock ..

 Thus we hear  of "recently vaporised" blockbuster deals that proposed to inject a trillion dollar magnesium mine from remote xinjiang into a loss-making ship building coy , of  reverse takeovers by malaysian tycoons injecting Iskandar land into a money losing steel plant coy , or myanmese tycoons injecting myanmese assets into a money-losing bedsheet retailer .etc etc  

   ..So, Is Yuuzoo's "social e-commerce"  deal  in  Nigeria - a remote ebola- and jihadist-infested country any different ? I doubt so , but the question of interest to the public is at what price does the Yuuzoo operator complete distribution of  their own shares ? 

I am sure we the public would want to sell the shares together with the operator  during his distribution  of his stock & just before the plunge. 

but how ? The answer lies in the charts  .. To find out more , attend sgxswingers free seminars to find out ( click here) . 








Riding up on Yuuzoo from 34c  to 58c : student and freebee statements. 

Shorting Yuuzoo :

we shorted on 27 Nov after they announced news of  " big $500m social e-commerce deal" in Nigeria , this one student bags $3k intraday; more short statements to come ,  hot from students.

Here telling oct feebees about Yuuzoo entry on 14 Nov juz before breakout at 31-32:

Here reminding student of Yuuzoo peaking and hidden selling at 62 juz before price collapsed:

stay tuned for more updates ..better still join our freebee chat  to get updates and calls live & interactive  for free.


To find out more on how we achieve such   consistency in precision swings over the years , attend our weekly free seminars on " Deciphering stock operator maneuvers & swing secrets " to join our freebee chat for free  ( click here  

for daily updates , join our FB sgx swingers corner ( click here).. 
To hear what our freebees say of their freebee chat experience-(click here) .

Sunday, 30 November 2014

Shanghai composite index - SSE expecting some blocking reaction at 2700.



The chinese shanghai stock index , SSE,  has been on a rocket ride   eversince the HK-Shanghai link was "mooted" in Jul .. but now the shanghai bull looks abit tired ..it may need a rest before charging some more . expecting some reaction down at 2700 -2720 monday morning 1 dec. HSI may follow suit.
*****post-mortem on 2 dec to this post on above prediction   ****
SSE did reacted down( see 1 minute chart below) on 1 dec afternoon after touching 2707 falling down 37 pts or 1%+  to 2670 before resuming its move up the very next day .. this is only what the market gives u and this is only what u can take..which shows how bullish the shanghai market is .
.
**************************************

One more thing , recently in line with our bearish oil view( click here) ,  we initiated our second round of  big shorts on oil stocks like Ezra , Mirach , Ezion, Sembmar, Kepcorp  etc ..which shall be discussion topic of our next post.. This is our second wave of shorts , our first wave of big shorts was started  in Oct   as represented by our shorts in  RH petro  , sinoGrand( click here) .

and oh yes, juz last thurs 27 nov  , we  closed our big short on biosensor ( click here) and  oso   closed our long on Valuetronics breakout after catching its bottom( click here)  

stay tuned for more updates ..better still join our freebee chat  to get updates and calls live & interactive  for free.


To find out more on how we achieve such   consistency in precision swings over the years , attend our weekly free seminars on " Deciphering stock operator maneuvers & swing secrets " to join our freebee chat for free  ( click here  

for daily updates , join our FB sgx swingers corner ( click here).. 
To hear what our freebees say of their freebee chat experience-(click here) .

Thursday, 27 November 2014

Where will Nymex Crude Oil plunge to ?

We have been predicting Nymex sweet Crude Oil will drop to US$74 per barrel when it was US$100 ( click here)  

It hit US$74 recently juz before the 27 Nov 2014 Opec meeting..

.

with OPEC expected not to agree on any production cuts, oil is set to go lower ....  but to how much before we see the bottom ? is it $57-8 as stated on the picture above , with little bounces at 64 and 60  ? come to our free weekly seminars to find out !( click here) 
  
One more thing , recently in line with our bearish oil view,  we initiated our second round of  big shorts on oil stocks like Ezra , Mirach  , Ezion , Sembmar, Kepcorp , Swissco , Rex etc ..which shall be discussion topic of our next post or after ..( with the profit statements when we close these new  shorts )  This is our second wave of shorts , our first wave of big shorts was started  in Oct   as represented by our shorts in  RH petro  , sinoGrand( click here) .

and oh yes, juz yesterday , we  closed our big short on biosensor ( click here) and  oso   closed our long on Valuetronics breakout after catching its bottom( click here)  

stay tuned for more updates ..better still join our freebee chat  to get updates and calls live & interactive  for free.


To find out more on how we achieve such   consistency in precision swings over the years , attend our weekly free seminars on " Deciphering stock operator maneuvers & swing secrets " to join our freebee chat for free  ( click here  

for daily updates , join our FB sgx swingers corner ( click here).. 
To hear what our freebees say of their freebee chat experience-(click here) .

Closing the big short on Biosensor at 54c .


Closing the big short on Biosensor :

Finally today it hit 54c ..expecting a bounce from here     ..below picture explains .. 

Below is Call to Freebee chat on 14 oct  to short Biosensor at 69 with tgt 60 then 54 :

Below Freebee and students close their shorts on Biosensor  after  from 69 > 60 then roll-over to  61>54.5:
this one freebee-turned-student  below makes $3.2k shorting from 60.5 to 54c :


yet another one freebee-turned-student  below makes $5.7k  shorting from 61c to 54.5c
more trade statements on Bio shorts coming ... hot from the students ...

stay tuned for more updates ..better still join our freebee chat  to get updates and calls live & interactive  for free.


To find out more on how we achieve such   consistency in precision swings over the years , attend our weekly free seminars on " Deciphering stock operator maneuvers & swing secrets " to join our freebee chat for free  ( click here  

for daily updates , join our FB sgx swingers corner ( click here).. 
To hear what our freebees say of their freebee chat experience-(click here) .


Valuetronics Act 2 - Catching the second breakout after catching the falling knife bottom

Eversince we caught the bottom of the falling knife on Valuetronics at 30-31c on 16 oct  and then sold off at 34-35c after a 3-4 day swing ( click here) , we have been biding our time , waiting patiently for this beast 's next move up..  .

.and when the beast showed signs of awakening from its month long slumber  , we strike ..entering ..on 18th & 19th nov at about 34-35c ..

it started rising immediately thereafter , never looked back since and the final big move came 25-27th nov that gave sgxswingers a strong rally rocket ride all the way to 41c . below chart explains.. 

below are calls to freebee chatroom on catching the falling knife on the 16 oct at 31c  and to student chatroom on catching the pre-break out at 34-35c on the 18 nov


below is a sample of trade statements  from students on these latest trades .. more coming ..stay tuned....

stay tuned for more updates ..better still join our freebee chat  to get updates and calls live & interactive  for free.


To find out more on how we achieve such   consistency in precision swings over the years , attend our weekly free seminars on " Deciphering stock operator maneuvers & swing secrets " to join our freebee chat for free  ( click here  

for daily updates , join our FB sgx swingers corner ( click here).. 
To hear what our freebees say of their freebee chat experience-(click here) .